Image Courtesy: ESPN
*All game are at central standard time and all rankings are based on this week’s AP Top 25*
Friday, Feb. 13
10.Michigan State (20-4) @ Wisconsin (17-7)
7 p.m., FOX
Michigan State heads to Madison looking to continue their winning ways against Wisconsin on Friday night. The Spartans bounced back from a three-game losing streak against then No. 5 Illinois last Sunday. The Badgers overcame a 12-point deficit late to defeat the Fighting Illini on Tuesday night. Veteran guards Nick Boyd and John Blackwell starred in Wisconsin’s two point victory.
Michigan State’s true leader is lead guard Jeremy Fears. Fears leads the Spartans in scoring (15.1 points), assisting (9.1), and stealing (1.3) per game. Fears will have a tough job dealing with Boyd and Blackwell, who combined for 49 points, nine assists, and three steals versus Illinois. Fears taking on the duo of Boyd and Blackwell will make for an interesting matchup on Friday night.
If Michigan State wants to continue to win, it cannot only be Fears showing up. Forwards Jaxon Kohler and Coen Carr must add solid performances against the Badgers’ front court. Kohler and Carr combine to average over 24 points and almost 15 rebounds. They will put that up to the test against the Badgers’ Nolan Winter, who scores over 14 points and adds almost nine rebounds a contest. The battle between Winter and Kohler will be a defining factor in who will win the game.
In what should be another close game in the Big Ten, the Spartans will go into Madison and defeat Wisconsin on their home floor. Michigan State will grab a four-point win thanks to Fears, Kohler, and Carr playing efficiently against Boyd, Blackwell, and Winter consistently throughout the game.
Projected Score: Michigan State 76, Wisconsin 73
Saturday, Feb. 14
20.Clemson (20-5) @ 4.Duke (22-2)
11 a.m., ESPN
The top two teams in the ACC standings meet in Durham at Cameron Indoor Stadium on Saturday afternoon. Duke was angry after rival North Carolina beat them last Saturday but as a result, they defeated former assistant coach Jeff Capel and Pittsburgh 70-54 on Tuesday behind 21 points from guard Isaiah Evans. Clemson fell to Virginia Tech 76-66 on Wednesday night, thanks to Jailen Bedford’s 23 points against the Tigers.
Evans’ scoring outburst is important as lately it has been forward Cameron Boozer and no one else offensively for a Blue Devil team that has lost only two games this season. Boozer finished with another double-double against the Panthers with 17 points and 10 rebounds. A complete team performance will be expected from coach Jon Scheyer with Evans, Boozer, Dame Sarr, Caleb Foster, and Maliq Brown all coming out strong against the Tigers.
Clemson’s attack is balanced. Forward RJ Godfrey leads the way with almost 12 points and five rebounds, guard Jestin Porter, forward Carter Welling, forward Nick Davidson, and guard Dillon Hunter all contribute as well. Those five will have to put up their best fight of the season after a tough loss last time out against the Hokies if they want to beat a Duke team ready to pounce.
All of that being said, it is hard to see the Blue Devils losing on Saturday afternoon against the Tigers. Duke will overwhelm Clemson and run away with it in the second half. In a game that will be a full team victory, the Blue Devils will enter their next game on Monday against Syracuse with a newfound energy.
Projected Score: Duke 77, Clemson 62
Texas A&M (17-7) @ 19.Vanderbilt (20-4)
12 p.m., SECN
Texas A&M heads to Nashville as they face Vanderbilt in a matchup between two of the better teams in the SEC. The Aggies fell at home to Missouri 86-85, continuing their three game losing streak. The Commodores took a tough quad three loss to Oklahoma before bouncing back with an 84-76 victory over Auburn on Tuesday night.
Vanderbilt was led by guard Tyler Tanner’s 25 points and six assists and Tyler Nickel’s 10 points. Tanner and Nickel will need similar or better production against Texas A&M as back court mates Duke Miles and Frankie Collins remain out with injuries. In the loss to the Tigers, Rylan Griffen scored 17 points and added five rebounds but Marcus Hill, Jacari Lane, and Rubén Dominguez were limited to just 17 combined points. They will have to be much better to match Tanner’s all-around abilities and Nickel’s shooting ability.
Forward Jalen Washington posted a season best 22 points, five rebounds, and one block against the Tigers. Fellow teammate Devin McGlockton helped Washington with 12 points, seven rebounds, and three blocks of his own. If Washington, McGlockton, and AK Okereke perform well against the Aggies, they can win on Saturday afternoon. The Aggies’ leader in every way is Rashaun Agee. The forward leads the team in scoring, rebounding, and is always loud on the court and when he is on the bench. Agee is capable of shutting down Washington, McGlockton, and Okereke from having their normal averages or better with the help of his teammate Zach Clemence but it will not be easy on the road.
In a game Texas A&M needs to win after falling from the top of the SEC, first year coach Bucky McMillan needs to refocus his team on what they need to do Saturday to come out victorious on the road in front of a raucous environment for Vanderbilt. If Agee eliminates Washington from putting up similar numbers to what he had against Auburn on Tuesday, the Aggies have a shot to win in Nashville. But McMillan’s pressure on guards Tanner and Nickel will not be enough to give the Commodores back to back home losses.
Projected Score: Vanderbilt 88, Texas A&M 82
UCLA (17-7) @ 2.Michigan (23-1)
12 p.m., CBS
UCLA is looking for a season-defining win in Ann Arbor as they face No. 2 Michigan on Saturday afternoon. The Bruins will attempt to continue a two game winning streak on Saturday but their next three games will all be against AP Top 10 opponents, at Michigan, at No. 10 Michigan State, and back home against No. 8 Illinois.
The Bruins are powered by four scorers that put up over 10 points per contest. Forward Tyler Bilodeau, guards Donovan Dent, Skyy Clark, Trent Prey, and Eric Dailey Jr. are the group that can give Michigan their second loss after they struggled to gain the lead until late against Northwestern earlier this week. The Wolverines’ top group is their front court that includes Yaxel Lendeborg, Morez Johnson Jr., and Aday Mara. The group averages over 39 points, over 21 rebounds, and over 5 blocks a game. Bilodeau and Michigan State transfer Xavier Booker will be trusted to defend one of the nation’s best front courts that boasts three guys 6’10 or taller.
On the other hand, Dent, Clark, and Prey will look to handle Michigan’s Trey McKenney and Eliot Cadeau from the perimeter. McKenney is a better scorer and Cadeau is a better playmaker but UCLA definitely has the guys to shut up McKenney and Cadeau from starting up the Wolverine offense.
Despite the Wolverines’ slow start on the road against Northwestern earlier this week, they will be back home to play UCLA and that should help them begin the game better. The Bruins must play tough defense to limit Lendeborg from leading Michigan to win 24 of the season. But he and the Michigan front court will be too much for UCLA to handle.
Projected Score: Michigan 87, UCLA 72
9.Kansas (19-5) @ 5.Iowa State (21-3)
12 p.m., ABC
The early Saturday slate will be defined by the game in Ames on ABC. Kansas dominated Iowa State a few weeks ago in Lawrence so it will be up to the Cyclones to avenge themselves against the Jayhawks. The Jayhawks gave No. 1 Arizona their first loss of the season in a thriller, 82-78 behind a phenomenal performance from forward Flory Bidunga without the presumptive No. 1 pick in June’s NBA Draft Darryn Peterson due to flu-like symptoms. Iowa State took their first loss since Jan. 17 against Cincinnati when they were upset by TCU 62-55 on the road. A bounce back performance will be necessary for the Cyclones to secure their spot on the two seed line versus the Jayhawks.
Kansas’ Bidunga scored 23 points, added 10 rebounds, blocked three shots, and stole the ball once in another performance that proves he can be an All-American and the national defensive player of the year. Fellow forward Bryson Tiller had 18 points, eight rebounds, two blocks, and a steal to help Bidunga up front. They will match up with an Iowa State front line that can score efficiently on a regular basis. However, forwards Joshua Jefferson’s 12 points, nine assists, and eight rebounds and Milan Momcilovic 11 points and 5 rebounds led the Cyclones in a game where they struggled to score the ball.
If Peterson returns to action for the Jayhawks, great. But their guards have been doing well without him. Guard Melvin Council matched Bidunga’s performance against the Wildcats with 23 points, six assists, and six rebounds, proving he has an all around game. If Peterson does not play on the road versus the Cyclones, more will be expected of Council’s backcourt mates Jamari McDowell and Tre White to sweep the season series against their rivals.
Veteran guard Tamin Lipsey matched Jefferson’s 12 points to lead Iowa State in scoring. The Ames native will have to play much better and lead his Cyclones to a win over a red hot Kansas on Saturday afternoon. Killyan Toure will have to be the defensive anchor that helps Lipsey shut down Council and Peterson if he plays.
Like last weekend when Michigan State was on a losing streak entering Sunday’s game against Illinois, I picked the Spartans to pull a mini upset of the Fighting Illini and it happened. KenPom has Iowa State handling Kansas 74-68 in a close game. I agree with them but I think the game will be a bit more high-scoring and the game will be closer than a six point deficit. Lipsey, Jefferson, and Momcilovic will lead the Cyclones in a much better offensive effort and avoid being swept by the Jayhawks.
Projected Score: Iowa State 81, Kansas 80
25.Kentucky (17-7) @ 14.Florida (18-6)
2 p.m., ABC
Kentucky has returned to the AP Top 25 and had the midweek off before their trip to Gainesville this weekend to face No. 14 Florida, who has emerged as the top team in the SEC over the last couple of weeks. The Wildcats are just a game back of the Gators in SEC play with an 8-3 record. Florida has won eight of their last nine games, the latest victory a 20 point drubbing of rival Georgia on the road, 86-66. Florida will face Kentucky for the first of two games between the longtime conference rivals so Saturday’s matchup will be a preview of what to expect inside Rupp Arena in just three weeks on the final day of the regular season in the SEC.
Otega Oweh and Denzel Aberdeen power the Wildcats on the perimeter with Collin Chandler contributing as well. Their group has been much more consistent than the Gators’ group. However, the Gators’ back court, including Boogie Fland, Xavian Lee, and Urban Klavzar, combined for 41 points and eight assists in their win against the Bulldogs. If they meet Oweh and Aberdeen’s physicality and put up a similar performance as they did on Wednesday night, they can definitely help their bigs perform inside
Inside the paint, the toughness of veteran Mouhamed Dioubate and freshman Malachi Moreno has helped Kentucky wake up after a rough start to the season through non-conference and through much of the first month of SEC play. They will need all of Dioubate and Moreno against Florida’s group, who many label as the top unit in the country. It was a balanced effort for the Gators’ forwards against Georgia. Alex Condon scored 12 points and five rebounds, Thomas Haugh put up 11 points and five assists, and Rueben Chinyelu boasted seven points and an incredible 20 blocks. The tougher group between these two may determine the winner of the game.
Florida will protect the O’Connell Center and send Kentucky back to Lexington with a fourth SEC loss. Fland, Lee, and Klavzar will play hard in the back court and Condon, Haugh, and Chinyelu will come up with important rebounds down the stretch to help the Gators defeat the Wildcats. A rematch is set for March 7 inside Rupp Arena in three weeks.
Projected Score: Florida 85, Kentucky 79
13.Purdue (20-3) @ Iowa (18-6)
4 p.m., FOX
Purdue must start well if they want to bounce back from recent up and down play as they travel to face Iowa this weekend. The Boilermakers lead for most of the way against No. 7 Nebraska in Lincoln but the Corn Huskers forced overtime. Purdue’s Oscar Cluff made a game-winning layup and they got a huge win over Nebraska 80-77 to help them move up the Big Ten standings and two and a half games of No. 2 Michigan. Maryland upset the Hawkeyes 77-70 on Wednesday night, Iowa’s first loss since their first game against the Boilermakers back on Jan. 14.
It was a balanced effort from the Boilermakers offense in their victory on Tuesday night. Senior guards Fletcher Loyer (18 points) and Braden Smith (13 points and 10 assists) lead the way. They will need to do the same as they enter what should be another hostile environment in Iowa City on Saturday afternoon. The Hawkeyes’ point guard Bennett Stirtz put up 32 points and six assists in the loss to the Terrapins but more will be needed outside of Stirtz on the perimeter like from Tavion Banks and Kael Combs to defeat the Boilermakers at home.
Cluff’s double-double with 12 points and 14 rebounds supported Loyer’s and Smith’s performances as they had to dig deep late in the game to overcome Nebraska in overtime. However, pre-season All-American Trey Kaufman-Renn only scored six points but he had 19 rebounds. More points will be expected of Kaufman-Renn against the Hawkeyes but if he and Cluff can combine for 33 rebounds, it will be tough to play against them throughout the rest of the season. Iowa’s Cam Manyawu and Cooper Koch will need to step up inside against Cluff and Kaufman-Renn inside after only combining for 11 points on Wednesday if they want to defeat the Boilermakers.
If Purdue starts well against Iowa, they should take care of business. But Loyer and Smith will have to make sure Stirtz does not go for more than 30 points because then they could be in trouble. However if Stirtz is the only Hawkeye that causes problems against the Boilermaker defense, they will coast to a win on Saturday night.
Projected Score: Purdue 77, Iowa 71
16.Texas Tech (18-6) @ 1.Arizona (23-1)
5:30 p.m., ESPN
Texas Tech heads to Tucson to face No. 1 Arizona after their first loss of the season on Monday night. The Red Raiders dominated Colorado 78-44 on Wednesday night thanks to Donovan Atwell’s 20 points. After falling for the first time this season to No. 9 Kansas, Arizona continues one of the toughest stretches in the country when they host No. 16 Texas Tech on Saturday night. The Wildcats fell 82-78 to the Jayhawks on the road in front of one of college basketball’s best environments at Allen Fieldhouse.
Arizona should not worry about taking their first loss this season against Kansas. There is a reason why they were 23-0 and they performed well in Lawrence but fell inside one of college basketball’s top atmospheres.
Guards Brayden Burries (25 points, 5 rebounds, and 3 steals against Kansas) and Jayden Bradley (6 points, 5 rebounds, and 3 steals are the guys that have paced the Wildcats this season. Burries continues to do good things but more will be expected of the veteran Bradley scoring wise if they want to keep up with Texas Tech’s backcourt, who score at one of the highest rates in the country. On top of Atwell’s performance, Christian Anderson scored 14 points and Jaylen Petty added 12 points of his own. The guard matchups in this game will go a long way in determining this game.
Like their guards, Arizona’s front court has been fantastic this season. Center Motiejus Krivas scored 14 points, had 15 rebounds, and added an incredible six blocks versus the Jayhawks, forward Ivan Kharchenkov scored 13 points, added six rebounds, and had three steals, but freshman sensation Koa Peat was limited to only six points. Peat will have do more alongside Krivas and Kharchenkov with JT Toppin facing the Wildcats on Saturday night. Toppin scored 16 points and added 18 rebounds for an impressive double-double against the Buffaloes on Wednesday night. Krivas, Kharchenkov, and Peat will have to limit Toppin if they want to come out victorious on Saturday night.
All of that being said, Arizona should protect their home floor and grab win 24 of the season thanks to Burries and Bradley leading the Wildcats as playmakers and making passes to Peat, Kharchenkov, and Krivas to set them up to make plays that will help them overcome Anderson, Toppin, and the high scoring Red Raiders.
Projected Score: Arizona 89, Texas Tech 77
12.Gonzaga (24-2) @ Santa Clara (22-5)
9:30 p.m., ESPN
Gonzaga meets Santa Clara on the road in a battle between the top two teams in the West Coast conference with matching 12-1 records. The Bulldogs dominated instate rival Washington State 83-53 on Tuesday night and will definitely have a tougher test against the Broncos on Saturday night. Santa Clara took care of Seattle University 84-72 on Wednesday night.
Graham Ike scored 20 points and added seven rebounds and guard Adam Miller scored 11 points against the Cougars earlier this week. Both guys will be trusted to lead the way again versus Santa Clara, especially as they continue without forward Braden Huff due to injury. Forwards Junseok Yeo (17 points, 12 rebounds, and 1 block against the Redhawks) and Will Heimbrdt (11 points) continue to anchor the Broncos.
More will be expected of guards Jalen Warley and Tyon Grant-Foster to support Miller in the backcourt so they can defeat the Broncos. On the perimeter, Brayden Maldonado, who scored 17 points and assisted six baskets versus Seattle U will have to hope his teammates Maleek Arington, John Christofilis, and Jojo Murphy pick it up behind them after all of them only put up subpar showings in midweek action.
If the Zags want to end their time in the West Coast conference on a positive note and win the league, they will have to win this game. But without Huff, they have struggled to do so. Facing Santa Clara on the road will be a tough test as they are just four point favorites on KenPom. That being said, give me the Bulldogs to win close against the Broncos and reclaim the lead of the league entering the last two weeks of regular season play.
Projected Score: Gonzaga 85, Santa Clara 82
Sunday, Feb. 15
Indiana (19-8) @ 8.Illinois (20-5)
12 p.m., CBS
Indiana will try to continue to rise up the bracket by traveling on the road and potentially upsetting No. 8 Illinois on Sunday afternoon. The Hoosiers dominated Oregon 92-72 on Monday night, a team that fell to then No. 12 Purdue by just four points on Saturday. The Fighting Illini fell to Wisconsin 92-90 in overtime, marking back to back losses since their 12-game win streak ended.
Indiana guard Lamar Wilkerson put up 41 points against the Ducks while Nick Dorn supported him with 11 points. Wilkerson will have to face a guard with similar offensive abilities on Sunday afternoon. The guy Wilkerson must face is freshman guard Keaton Wagler, who will continue to be Illinois’ standard bearer with 34 points against the Badgers as senior guard Kylan Boswell remains out with a hand fracture. Wagler was not able to handle the Badgers’ guards and as a result Boswell was definitely missed defensively. In addition to missing Boswell, second leading score Andrej Stojakovic missed Tuesday’s game with an ankle injury.
The Hoosiers’ front court, including Tucker DeVries and Sam Alexis, combined for 31 points and 8 rebounds on Monday. They will have a tough test against the high-scoring Illinois front court. The revolving door of injuries for the Illini backcourt must mean that Tomislav Ivisic, David Mirkovic, and Zvonimir Ivisic continue their hot offensive play and rebound the ball well to support Wagler without Boswell and Stojakovic next to him on the perimeter.
In what should be a back and forth game, Illinois will go on a late run in the last eight minutes of the second half to defeat Indiana by eight points. Wagler, Mirkovic, and the Ivisic brothers will match Wilerson, DeVries, and Alexis and overtake them in the eight minutes of their late run and win their first game since Feb. 4 against Northwestern.
Projected Score: Illinois 86, Indiana 78
