Image Courtesy of the Florida Gators
*All games are at Central Standard Time and all rankings are based on this week’s AP Top 25*
Friday, Feb. 27
No. 3 Michigan (26-2) @ No. 10 Illinois (22-6)
7 p.m., FOX
As Michigan heads to Illinois for an important Friday matchup, both teams look to bounce back after losses last Saturday. The Wolverines lost to Duke 68-63 in Washington DC, and the Fighting Illini fell to UCLA 95-94 on a Donovan Dent game-winner in the overtime period on Saturday. Michigan bounced back with a 77-67 win over Minnesota, but Illinois had the midweek off before they host the No. 3 team in the country.
In Illinois’ high-scoring loss to the Bruins, freshman sensation Keaton Wagler led the team with 19 points, eight rebounds and six assists, and veteran Kylan Boswell added 13 points, six rebounds, and five assists. A strong showing on both sides of the basketball will be important for the Fighting Illini to counter Michigan’s tremendous front court with a strong performance from the perimeter. After struggling in their loss to the Blue Devils on Saturday, Wolverine guard Elliot Cadeau led the team with 15 points and five assists. If Cadeau can be smart, avoid turning the ball over, and shoot the ball well enough,Michigan can go on the road and get a tough win.
Illinois centers Tomislav Ivisic (19 points and 6 rebounds), Zvonimir Ivisic (11 points) and forward Ben Humrichous (15 points and 5 rebounds) will all have to put up similar performances offensively and will need to put up a tremendous effort against one of the top front courts in the country for Michigan, including a former Fighting Illini forward Morez Johnson, who scores over 13 points and seven rebounds a contest. On Tuesday against the Golden Gophers, Aday Mara led the front court with 10 points and five rebounds. Johnson scored six points but grabbed seven rebounds, and leading scorer Yaxel Lendeborg only put up three points. That group will have to be much better against Illinois’ paint players because they are a talented group offensively as much as the Wolverines’ group normally is.
A loss for Michigan will not hurt them in the Big Ten race as they are still three games ahead of Illinois for the Big Ten lead. But three straight inconsistent performances from the Wolverines could mean that they will lose on Friday night at Illinois, who has lost three of their last five games. Dusty May’s team should not turn in another bad performance, and they will beat the Fighting Illini in what should be a close game.
Projected Score: Michigan 85, Illinois 83
Saturday, Feb. 28
No. 11 Virginia (25-3) @ No. 1 Duke (26-2)
11 a.m., ESPN
Virginia heads to Cameron Indoor Stadium to face Duke with the ACC rivals separated by just one game in both their overall and conference records. The Cavaliers did not play as strong of a non-conference schedule as the Blue Devils but have improved their level of play since conference play started with their only two losses in the last two months being to instate rival Virginia Tech and North Carolina. On Tuesday, Virginia dominated North Carolina State 90-61, and Duke did the same to Notre Dame 100-56. A huge battle at the top of the ACC looms early Saturday.
The Blue Devils play through forward Cameron Boozer, who puts together a double-double performance in almost every game by averaging over 22 points and 10 rebounds per game. They will need center Patrick Ngongba II to play tough against the Virginia front court and avoid picking up two fouls early, so it does not limit the Duke defense against the Cavaliers’ strong offense. The Cavaliers’ leading scorer, forward Thijs De Ridder and centers Johann Grunloh and Ugonna Onyeso will have to counter against Boozer and Ngongba.
In front of their home crowd, the Blue Devils will also need consistent guard play versus Virginia, something they have failed to get for much of the season. It will take Isaiah Evans reaching his season averages of 14.7 points and Caleb Foster settling everyone down and passing out assists like coach Jon Scheyer expects him to when the Cavaliers go on a run. When they do that, Virginia’s Malik Thomas, Sam Lewis and Chance Mallory are all capable of scoring in bunches, but it will be tough to do on the road in Durham.
In what should be a highly contested game in the first half if Virginia can limit Boozer early in the game, Duke should go on a run in the second half and continue their success against ACC opponents. Boozer will be too much for De Ridder to handle, and the Blue Devils will grab their 15th conference win.
Projected Score: Duke 79, Virginia 68
No. 24 Louisville (20-8) @ Clemson (20-8)
1 p.m., ESPN2
Louisville heads to Clemson to face the Tigers on Saturday afternoon in an important ACC battle. The Cardinals have won six of their last eight games while Clemson has lost its last four contests. Louisville dropped their game on Monday at North Carolina, 77-75, while Clemson had the midweek off after losing to Florida State 74-72 on Saturday. The winner of Saturday’s game will help their chances at moving up the seed list as Selection Sunday is just a few weeks away.
Freshman guard Mikel Brown Jr. scored 24 points on 25 shots in the Cardinals’ loss in Chapel Hill earlier this week. While Brown was not efficient on Monday, his backcourt mate Ryan Conwell scored 23 points. They will need to be prepared as they continue their roadtrip against a Tiger team with multiple defeats in a row. Clemson does not have a guard that scores over 10 points in a contest this season. They will need one of Jestin Porter, Ace Buckner, or Dillon Hunter to step up and match Brown Jr., Conwell or another one of Louisville’s tremendous guards, with all of them capable of knocking down multiple three pointers in a single game.
Louisville got almost nothing from its bigs against the Tar Heels. Sananda Fru scored only three points and added five rebounds and got zero points from bench pieces Kasean Pryor and Aly Khalifa. A better performance will be expected from the Cardinal front court as they head on the road. The Tigers’ balanced scoring is led by forward RJ Godfrey who scores over 11 points and five rebounds and Carter Welling who adds over 10 points and almost six rebounds a game. Godfrey and Welling will have to score the ball efficiently against the Cardinals if the opposing guards have tremendous games like I think they will, even though they are playing on the road.
In what should be a back-and-forth game, Louisville can win their seventh of nine games if Fru, Pryor, and Khalifa can handle Godfrey and Welling defensively and get consistent production from their guards. Clemson should gain a lead for some portion of this game, but the Cardinals’ offense will take over and outlast the Tigers with a run in the second half.
Projected Score: Louisville 77, Clemson 71
No. 25 Vanderbilt (22-6) @ Kentucky (18-10)
1 p.m., ESPN
Vanderbilt will be in Lexington attempting to sweep Kentucky and move back up the SEC standings after recent struggles. A month ago, the Commodores dominated the Wildcats 80-55. This week, Vanderbilt took care of Georgia 88-80 on Wednesday while the Wildcats struggled at times in their 72-63 victory over South Carolina on Tuesday night. With the teams tied for fourth in the SEC, the winner of this game on Saturday will look to move up the standings.
Normally, Otega Oweh leads the way for Kentucky at guard as the team’s leading scorer. But on Tuesday, Florida transfer Denzel Aberdeen helped the Wildcats overcome the Gamecocks with 19 points, five assists and four rebounds. On Wednesday, Vanderbilt’s Tyler Tanner dropped 17 points, six rebounds, and five assists against Georgia. His running mate, Tyler Nickel, scored 10 points on two for ten shooting. Nickel will have to return to his quality shooting form if they want to go on the road and beat a Kentucky team that needs to protect their home floor after winning just one of their previous four games.
Inside, Mouhamed Dioubate came off the bench and scored 12 points and added four rebounds for the Wildcats. Dioubate was a big part of Kentucky’s success in the second half, helping them to their 18th win of the season after three consecutive losses. Andrija Jelavic (11 points) and Malachi Moreno (8 points and 11 rebounds) must continue to produce against the Vanderbilt bigs if they want to avenge their loss to the Commodores from earlier in the season. Forward Devin McGlockton matched Tanner’s point total of 17 and added ten rebounds to put together a double-double performance. If McGlockton and Jalen Washington can play through Dioubate, Jelavic, and Moreno’s tough defense on the road, Vanderbilt has a great chance to sweep the Wildcats this season.
With Kentucky’s recent struggles, the Commodores need to come into Rupp Arena playing hard because they do not want to let Oweh have a bounce back game against them. If Tanner, Nickel, and McGlockton shoot the ball well, Vanderbilt will defeat the Wildcats. Vanderbilt will win this game and have a chance to get a double bye at the SEC Tournament in a week and a half if they can finish the season strong with wins over the Wildcats, Ole Miss, and Tennessee, which are all on the road.
Projected Score: Vanderbilt 79, Kentucky 76
No. 14 Kansas (21-7) @ No. 2 Arizona (26-2)
3 p.m., ESPN
Kansas travels to Tucson to face Arizona in a huge Big 12 game on Saturday afternoon. After Cincinnati dominated the Jayhawks last weekend, they bounced back with a 69-56 victory over No. 5 Houston. A similar performance will be expected for Kansas to go on the road and defeat an Arizona team that just defeated the Cougars last weekend too. The Wildcats went to Waco and defeated Baylor 87-80 on Tuesday night. The Wildcats will attempt to avenge their loss to Kansas on Feb. 9 in this one.
On Monday, Tre White was the star for the Jayhawks. White scored 23 points and grabbed five rebounds against the strong Houston defense. Joining him on the perimeter, Darryn Peterson (14 points) and Melvin Council (11 points) helped Kansas gain another victory. Jaden Bradley (25 points and 6 assists against the Bears), Brayden Burries (24 points and 5 rebounds), and Anthony Dell’Orso (8 points) make up a formidable group of perimeter players that will have to limit White, Peterson, and Council from continuing their success on the road and give it back to them on offense.
Forward Bryce Tiller put together a double-double performance with 11 points, 10 rebounds and three blocks. Next to Tiller, Flory Bidunga only scored four points and added seven rebounds. He will have to be much better against a talented Arizona front court that includes, Montiejus Krivas (12 points and 4 rebounds), and Ivan Kharchenkov (8 points and 6 rebounds). Freshman Koa Peat who was listed as questionable for the Baylor game with a lower leg muscle strain, has not played in their last three contests.
Arizona and Kansas will play a close game throughout the first half before the Wildcats overtake the Jayhawks in the second half. The winners of the guard matchups will determine this game, and it will be Arizona’s Burries and Bradley that outperform Peterson, Council, and White in this game. The Wildcats will extend their two-game Big 12 lead with the win.
Projected Score: Arizona 85, Kansas 73
No. 16 Texas Tech (21-7) @ No. 4 Iowa State (24-4)
3 p.m., CBS
Texas Tech and Iowa State meet in Ames after both teams gained midweek wins on Tuesday night over Cincinnati and Utah respectively. The Red Raiders will continue without star forward JT Toppin after he tore his ACL a week ago. Scoring has not been an issue without Toppin but defending Iowa State will be tough to do on the road in their house on Saturday afternoon. With both teams tied at 11-4 in Big 12 play, the winner may have a chance to challenge Arizona for a Big 12 regular season title if they win out.
Texas Tech guard Christian Anderson powered his team to a victory over the Bearcats with 31 points, 11 rebounds, and seven assists. Next to Anderson, LeJuan Watts (13 points) and Donovan Atwell (12 points) will have to continue putting up similar numbers to continue getting wins without Toppin in the lineup. Anderson and Atwell will match up with Iowa State’s Tamin Lipsey and Killyan Toure. Lipsey scores 13 points and adds five assists a night while Toure scores almost nine points a game and shoots 32.3% from three-point range.
The Red Raiders’ Luke Bamgboye and Marial Akuentok will have to step up even more without Toppin playing at all. They will have the challenge of defending one of the nation’s top shooters Milan Momcilovic and top passing big men, Joshua Jefferson. Momcilovic leads the Cyclones with 17 points a game, and Jefferson is a terrific all-around player with 16 points, seven rebounds and five assists per contest.
At home, Iowa State has not lost yet this season. The Cyclones will be hard to beat, but Anderson and Texas Tech will continue their winning ways without Toppin. This game should be close throughout, but Iowa State will overtake Texas Tech with Lipsey and Jefferson’s playmaking and Momcilovic’s shooting and move their focus to Arizona on Monday night.
Projected Score: Iowa State 79, Texas Tech 72
No. 17 Alabama (21-7) @ No. 22 Tennessee (20-8)
5 p.m., ESPN
Alabama heads to Knoxville attempting to avenge a loss to Tennessee they took at home a couple of weeks ago by the score of 79-73. The Crimson Tide made 22 three-pointers and defeated Mississippi State 100-75 while Tennessee lost at Missouri 73-69 in midweek action. The winner of Saturday night’s action will be tied for second in the SEC standings, at least depending on the Arkansas-Florida game that will follow on ESPN.
The Volunteers got tremendous play from their front court throughout their loss to Missouri. Freshman phenom Nate Ament scored 17 points and added seven rebounds, Felix Okpara scored 15 points and added eight rebounds, and Jaylen Carey had 10 rebounds. At home if they can score inside and rebound like they did on the road this week, it will be hard for Alabama’s sharpshooting guards to get second and third looks from the three-point line. In addition, freshman forward Amari Allen has emerged as one of the Crimson Tide’s most consistent players. Allen led his team with 23 points and five rebounds while shooting six for seven from three-point range. If he and Aiden Sherrell (who scored 11 points and added six rebounds on Wednesday) shoot as well as they have over the last month, it will be hard for the Tennessee defense to consistently get stops.
Ja’Kobi Gillespie has been the Volunteers’ top guard all season since he transferred from Maryland. Gillespie led the team with 19 points and dished out six assists while Bishop Boswell added 13 points. Gillespie and Boswell will have difficult defensive assignments against Labaron Philon, Aden Holloway and Latrell Wrightsell, all of whom could light the Volunteers up from three. Holloway scored 18 points and Wrightsell added 16 points in the victory on Wednesday. Leading scorer Labaron Philon did not play against the Bulldogs.
If Alabama can play at the fast pace they want to play at, they can go to Knoxville and defeat Tennessee. However, playing at the Food City Center is not easy, and Gillespie, Ament, and the Volunteers will want to sweep the Crimson Tide after falling to the Tigers on Tuesday night. Tennessee will limit the Crimson Tide’s three-point shooting and protect their home floor on Saturday night.
Projected Score: Tennessee 86, Alabama 84
No. 20 Arkansas (21-7) @ No. 7 Florida (22-6)
7:30 p.m., ESPN
ESPN’s College GameDay will be on site for a huge SEC matchup in Gainesville between Arkansas, who is tied for second in the SEC standings with Alabama, and Florida, who has won eight games in a row and is two games ahead of the rest of the league. The Razorbacks outscored Texas A&M 99-84 while Florida used a late run to defeat Texas 84-71 in their last games. A win for Arkansas would mean a jump to the four seed line while a victory for Florida would all but lock up an SEC regular season title as they continue to pursue a top three seed in the NCAA Tournament for the second season in a row.
On Wednesday, Razorback wing Billy Richmond continued his streak to four consecutive 20-point games with 23 against the Aggies. Richmond is a tough cover with his athletic ability, and if the front court of Malique Ewin and Trevon Brazile can continue to play efficiently against a talented Gators’ front line, they will have a chance to win this game on the road. Florida forward Alex Condon scored 23 points and four rebounds while Thomas Haugh and Rueben Chinyelu combined for only 10 points in their last action. Haugh and Chinyelu will have to be much better against a high scoring Arkansas lineup, and they should be when they return home in front of a big crowd.
Razorback guards Darius Acuff and Meleek Thomas both struggled in the first half of action on Wednesday, shooting a combined one for 12 from the field. However, they both woke up in the second half as Acuff scored 22 points, added seven assists and five rebounds while Thomas dropped 13 points. Former Arkansas guard Boogie Fland will face his former team as a Gator for the first time after scoring 22 points against the Longhorns. Fland and Xavian Lee will start versus Acuff and Thomas, but Urban Klavzar will be the difference with his three-point shooting. Klavzar only scored eight points on two for five shooting from three-point range on Wednesday however a big game could be in line for him if Acuff, Thomas and veteran DJ Wagner do not come out and defend him from deep range.
If the Razorbacks had a healthy Karter Knox, they may be the betting favorite to defeat Florida on the road. However, the group of Condon, Haugh and Chinyelu will be too much to handle for an Arkansas front court that has not been able to defend in the paint all season. The Razorbacks will keep it close, but the Gators will continue their winning streak to nine games.
Projected Score: Florida 90, Arkansas 84
No. 9 Gonzaga (28-2) @ Saint Mary’s (26-4)
9:30 p.m., ESPN
Gonzaga is in Moraga to face rival Saint Mary’s for the final time as common West Coast Conference opponents before they head to the Pac-12. The Bulldogs have dominated WCC competition this season with their only loss being to Portland on Feb. 4. Gonzaga avenged that loss in midweek action, dominating the Pilots 89-48 on Wednesday night. The Gaels are just two games back of the Bulldogs overall and are just a game back in conference play after they crushed Santa Clara 86-67. On Jan. 31, Gonzaga defeated Saint Mary’s 73-65. The winner of the final regular season matchup between the two as common conference opponents in the WCC will be the regular season conference champion.
The Bulldogs are powered by big man Graham Ike, who scored 19 points, eight rebounds seven steals, and a block versus Portland. As Ike continues his strong season without front court mate Braden Huff due to his injury, he will be the most important player on the Bulldog roster for defeating their longtime rivals. Paulias Murauskas has the job of defending Ike on Saturday night. In their last game versus Gonzaga, Murauskas scored 15 points, four rebounds, and two steals. He will have to put up similar or better numbers and prevent Ike from doing whatever he wants to inside if the Gaels want to come out victorious.
The Bulldogs have more depth on the perimeter with Braeden Smith, Tyon Grant-Foster, and Mario Saint-Supery combined for 39 points and eight assists versus the Pilots. They will need to come together and play well again versus the Gaels if they want to come out with another WCC regular season title. On Jan. 31, Saint Mary’s guard Joshua Dent led his team with 16 points, six rebounds and three assists. Like Murauskas, Dent will need to step up and score with the Gonzaga guards and defend them with the help of his teammates Dillan Shaw and Mikey Lewis to win this game.
In the last Bulldogs-Gaels matchup as members of the WCC, Gonzaga will win their first regular season conference title since 2023 with a win over Saint Mary’s thanks to another great performance from Ike. But the Gaels always make it tough when the Bulldogs come to their home court.
Projected Score: Gonzaga 77, Saint Mary’s 75
Sunday, March 1
No. 8 Purdue (22-5) @ Ohio State (17-11)
2:45 p.m., CBS
Purdue is in Columbus to face Ohio State on Sunday afternoon in a game the Buckeyes must win to stay on the right side of the bubble. Michigan State defeated Purdue 76-74 but are playing some of their best basketball of the season at the right time, winning five of their last seven games. However, Ohio State dropped a game to Iowa 74-57, in a spot where they could not lose. An upset win over Purdue would help the Buckeyes get themselves solidly in the NCAA Tournament field again while the Boilermakers look to keep chugging along in another successful season under Matt Painter.
Braden Smith led the Boilermakers with just 12 points but stood out with 10 assists in another double-double performance against Michigan State. Smith, Fletcher Loye, and CJ Cox will be trusted to match one of college basketball’s top scorers Bruce Thornton, who scores 20 points a contest. He is the key to Ohio State getting an upset with John Mobley Jr. next to him scoring over 15 points a game.
Trey Kaufman-Renn scored 10 points, seven assists and six rebounds while Oscar Cluff added 10 points and four rebounds to help the Purdue front court in their loss to the Spartans. Buckeye forward Devin Royal and center Christopher Tilly combine to average over 25 points and 10 rebounds a game. If Smith and Loyer get their points for the Boilermaker backcourt, it will be up to Royal and Tilly to step up on their home court to win this game.
Purdue should take care of business on the road, but they have had problems on the road facing weaker teams in the past. The veteran group of Smith, Loyer, and Kaufman-Renn will be the difference against Thornton and Mobley Jr. The Boilermakers will get a bounce back performance as they continue their road trip to Evanston to face Northwestern.
Projected Score: Purdue 81, Ohio State 75
