Image Courtesy: The Athletic
Please click each of the six links, titled “Game by game predictions” for each conference to find out who I have winning each conference tournament that will commence this week to clinch an automatic bid to the NCAA Tournament. Selection Sunday is next Sunday, March 17th. The show will begin at 5 PM CT on CBS.
ACC (Washington DC)
Bracket
Game by game predictions
Bubble Watch
Locks: North Carolina, Duke, Clemson
Should Be In: N/A
Work to do: Virginia, Wake Forest, Pittsburgh, Syracuse
The ACC will be a three bid league in March Madness next week unless Virginia and Wake Forest make deep runs in Washington DC. Pittsburgh and Syracuse have outside shots without strong nonconference resumés. After starting out conference play well, Florida State struggled to the finish. After a Final Four appearance last April, Miami failed to have success without Isaiah Wong and Jordan Miller, who went to the pros. North Carolina (likely one or two seed), Duke (potential two or three seed), and Clemson (likely five or seed) will be among the top thirty overall seeds in the tournament no matter what happens in the ACC Tournament. With how weak the league is compared to 2019, when it had three number one seeds in the NCAA Tournament, I expect top seeds North Carolina and Duke to make it to the ACC Tournament final to match up for a third time this season. It is hard to beat the same team three times in the same season, but these Tar Heels have a toughness about them that no one else in the conference has.
Projected Conference Tournament Winner: 1.North Carolina
Big 12 (Kansas City)
Bracket
Game by game predictions
Bubble Watch
Locks: Houston, Iowa State, Baylor, Kansas, BYU, TCU, Texas Tech, Texas
Should Be In: Oklahoma
Work to do: Kansas State
The Big 12 is great again this season with Houston, Iowa State, Baylor, Kansas, BYU, TCU, Texas Tech, and Texas all already being for sure locks. Oklahoma will be in with just a singular win in Kansas City while Kansas State has some work to do to make it in. Houston came in from the American Athletic and dominated the Big 12 in their first season, going 28-3 during the regular season. Iowa State was very consistent in January and February to finish second followed by Baylor, Texas Tech, BYU, and Kansas. The Jayhawks have wins over likely one seeds UConn, Houston, and Tennessee but have lost nine games overall, the most in the Bill Self era. On the other end of the spectrum, Oklahoma was a top ten team in the AP poll for much of December but failed to establish success in Big 12 play with 12 overall losses. I do not see any of the lower seeds pushing through to win the Big 12 tournament but you never know what will happen in Kansas City.
Projected Conference Tournament Winner: 2.Iowa State
Big East (New York City)
Bracket
Game by game predictions
Bubble Watch
Locks: Connecticut, Marquette, Creighton
Should Be In: N/A
Work to do: Villanova, Seton Hall, Providence, St. John’s
The Big East runs through UConn until some other team takes it from them. The reigning national champions and 2024 Big East regular season champions ran through the league with only two losses. Creighton and Marquette are the only other locks to make the Big Dance from the conference but with just a single win at Madison Square Garden this week, Seton Hall should be in. Providence needs a few wins to beef up their resumé Villanova cannot lose another game with 14 losses already on the season. Anyone other than UConn or Creighton winning this conference tournament would be surprising with Marquette’s point guard Tyler Kolek’s injury concerns.
Projected Conference Tournament Winner: 1.Connecticut
Big Ten (Minneapolis)
Bracket
Game by game predictions
Bubble Watch
Locks: Purdue, Illinois, Wisconsin
Should Be In: Michigan State, Northwestern, Nebraska
Work to do: Iowa
Like UConn, Purdue has control over their conference, the Big Ten. The Boilermakers three losses may be more concerning than the Huskies or the Cougars but they are the favorites to win back to back Big Ten tournaments. Illinois and Wisconsin are the only other locks in the conference but Michigan State, Northwestern, and Nebraska should be in with a few wins each in Minneapolis this week. Iowa needs to either win the Big Ten tournament title or at least make the title game. The Boilermakers should win this tournament again but watch out for Illinois, Wisconsin, Nebraska, and Northwestern to make some noise.
Projected Conference Tournament Winner: 1.Purdue
Pac-12 (Las Vegas)
Bracket
Game by game predictions
Bubble Watch
Locks: Arizona and Washington State
Should Be In: Colorado
Work to do: Utah
Any team in this final Pac-12 tournament ever could win it. That is why I picked Utah to make a run to secure an NCAA Tournament bid. Top seed Arizona was upset by USC on Saturday night, hurting their chances at a number one seed. Washington State could have been the one seed in the Pac-12 tournament but they failed to do so after losing to instate rival Washington. Arizona, Washington State, and Colorado, and Oregon could very well also make runs and win the Pac-12 tournament but I believe in the Utes this week. They could lose in their first game, or they could make it all the way. The Pac-12 is very unpredictable this year.
Projected Conference Tournament Winner: 6.Utah
SEC (Nashville)
Bracket
Game by game predictions
Bubble Watch
Locks: Tennessee, Alabama, South Carolina, Kentucky, Auburn, Florida
Should Be In: Mississippi State
Work to do: Texas A&M
The depth of the SEC this season has made it comparable to the Big 12. Tennessee won the league with 14 victories after Alabama faltered late to fall to the three seed. Kentucky’s terrific offense makes other coaches and fans think how they will stop it. The Wildcats’ defense has been up and down but if their offense keeps on going, they will be hard to stop. South Carolina has won its most games ever in the regular season (25) under Lamont Paris while Auburn and Florida round out the locks. Mississippi State must beat LSU in the first round of the SEC Tournament to make it to the madness while Texas A&M needs multiple wins to make it in. Alabama will bounce back after a rough last two weeks of conference play to become the conference’s auto bid this March.
Projected Conference Tournament Winner: 3.Alabama